Climate Change, Conservation, and Sustainable Management Strategies in
the Se Kong, Se San, and Sre Pok (3S) River Basins
Abstract
Sustainably managing resources in a transboundary freshwater basin is a
complex problem, particularly when considering the compounding impacts
of climate change, hydropower development, and evolving water governance
paradigms. In this study, we used a mixed methods approach to analyze
potential impacts of climate change on regional hydrology, the ability
of dam operation rules to keep downstream flow within acceptable limits,
and the present state of water governance in Laos, Vietnam, and
Cambodia. Our results suggest that future river flows in the 3S river
system could move closer to natural (i.e., pre-development) conditions
during the dry season and experience increased floods during the wet
season. This anticipated new flow regime in the 3S region would require
a shift in the current dam operations, from maintaining minimum flows to
reducing flood hazards. Moreover, our Governance and Stakeholders survey
assessment results revealed that existing water governance systems in
Laos, Vietnam, and Cambodia are ill-prepared to address such anticipated
future water resource management problems. Our results indicate that the
solution space for addressing these complex issues in the 3S river
basins will be highly constrained unless major deficiencies in
transboundary water governance, strategic planning, financial capacity,
information sharing, and law enforcement are remedied in the next
decade. This work is part of an ongoing research partnership between the
National Aeronautical and Space Agency (NASA) and the Conservation
International (CI) dedicated to improving natural resources assessment
for conservation and sustainable management.