Asymmetrical Lightning-ignited Fire Season Expansion in the Boreal
Forest of Northeast China
Abstract
All-season warming is thought to advance snow melt and delay snow
accumulation; coupled with warming-induced drought stress, this could
extend both the beginning and end of the fire season. Using the updated
fire data of 1967-2018, we found an asymmetrical expansion of the
lightning-ignited fire season in the boreal forest of Northeast China.
The lightning-ignited fires have not advanced into the early fire season
(May-June) but have largely extended into the snowless late fire season
since the late 1990s. The length of the lightning-ignited fire season
increased by 10.9 days per decade from 1968-2018 (P<0.01), and
the mean annual number of lightning-ignited fires has increased from 9.8
to 29.2 times/year since 1998. Despite significant warming, the Julian
days of snow melt have changed little, which has prohibited the fire
season from advancing into early spring. The expansion of
lightning-ignited fires from July-September was associated with
warming-induced evapotranspiration and the soil/fuel aridity increase.