A 228-year coral record in the Philippines reveals volcanic cooling in
the nineteenth century and globally coherent warming in the late
twentieth century
Abstract
Both proxy and model studies seeking to understand anthropogenic warming
have revealed historical variations of sea surface temperature (SST)
since the Industrial Revolution. However, because of discrepancies
between observations and models for the late nineteenth century, the
timing and degree of anthropogenic warming is still unclear. Here we
reconstructed a 228-year record of SST and salinity using a coral core
collected at Bicol, southern Luzon, Philippines, which is at the
northern edge of the western Pacific warm pool. The SST record showed
clear volcanic cooling after the eruptions of Tambora and Krakatau in
1815 and 1883, respectively, but the pattern of change differed between
them. Although there were discrepancies in SST variations among modeled,
observed, and proxy SST data for the late nineteenth to early twentieth
century, SST data from the late twentieth century show globally coherent
anthropogenic warming, especially after 1975.