Abstract
General Circulation Models (GCMs) exhibit substantial biases in their
simulation of tropical climate. One particularly problematic bias exists
in GCMs’ simulation of the tropical rainband known as the Intertropical
Convergence Zone (ITCZ). Much of the precipitation on Earth falls within
the ITCZ, which plays a key role in setting Earth’s temperature by
affecting global energy transports, and partially dictates dynamics of
the largest interannual mode of climate variability: the El
Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Most GCMs fail to simulate the mean
state of the ITCZ correctly, often exhibiting a “double ITCZ bias”,
with rainbands both north and south rather than just north of the
equator. These tropical mean state biases limit confidence in climate
models’ simulation of projected future and paleoclimate states, and
reduce the utility of these models for understanding present climate
dynamics. Adjusting GCM parameterizations of cloud processes and
atmospheric convection can reduce tropical biases, as can artificially
correcting sea surface temperatures (SSTs) through modifications to
air-sea fluxes (i.e. “flux adjustment”). Here we argue that a
significant portion of these rainfall and circulation biases are rooted
in orographic height being biased low due to assumptions made in fitting
observed orography onto GCM grids. We demonstrate that making different,
and physically defensible, assumptions that raise the orographic height
significantly improves model simulation of climatological features such
as the ITCZ and North American rainfall as well as the simulation of
ENSO. These findings suggest a simple, physically-based, and
computationally inexpensive method that can improve climate models and
projections of future climate.