Using an Emergency Medicine Mindset to Guide Climate Action: Lessons
from the COVID
Abstract
The 1,000-fold differences between countries in bringing the 2020
pandemic under control show the consequences of failures to stockpile, a
century-old anti-science, anti-expertise streak in American culture, and
of tolerating incompetent leadership. The extreme weather in the last
twenty years has featured surges in severe windstorms (now 7x as common
as before 2008), inland floods, mega heatwaves, hot-dry-windy “fire
weather,” and stalled hurricanes. They threaten a human population
crash via famine and genocides. Here I adapt the physician’s mental
check list to show what a “climate doctor” would consider. First,
sensible precautions: beefing up infrastructure to resist floods,
burying power lines and creating city-wide battery backup, and
relocating people out of flood plains and coastlines. Stockpile. We need
economic modeling for emergency measures, what we should have done
before the pandemic’s recession. Protect the patient from the usual
causes of terminal downhill slides. This is commonly called
“stabilizing the patient.” The Civilian Conservation Corps in the
1930s likely prevented civil disorder. Recognize what’s wrong. For
climate, the working diagnosis since 1965 is a global-scale overheating
caused by the accumulation of CO2, contributed by the annual emissions
of fossil fuels. Attacking the root cause may not be fast enough. To
evaluate urgency, guess where things are likely headed (prognosis).
Climate models are good for estimating slow climate change, but they are
only beginning to address the dynamic aspects that can create climate
flips and extreme weather. Rule out other problems. Repeatedly search
for secondary climate problems, analogous to shock and internal
bleeding, that could provoke a fast track to disaster. Formulate a plan
of action and explain it to get consent. The annual bump-up in CO2 from
emissions is now 50% greater than before 2000. We must now focus on a
quick cleanup of the existing CO2 accumulation, as in using a kidney
dialysis machine to quickly clean up an aspirin overdose. Gradual
overheating is no longer the correct focus for understanding the risk
we now face. We are in the territory where fast tracks to disaster must
be forestalled. Something, perhaps the passive drama mindset for the
surreal, is preventing effective climate action, even by the
knowledgeable.