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Terrestrial Impacts of Global Geospace Modeling of an Ensemble of Storms
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  • Qusai Al Shidi,
  • Tuija Pulkkinen,
  • Austin Brenner,
  • Gabor Toth,
  • Shasha Zou,
  • Tamas Gombosi
Qusai Al Shidi
University of Michigan Ann Arbor

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

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Tuija Pulkkinen
Aalto University
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Austin Brenner
University of Michigan Ann Arbor
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Gabor Toth
University of Michigan
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Shasha Zou
University of Michigan
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Tamas Gombosi
University of Michigan
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Abstract

Modeling the terrestrial impacts of the sun’s solar wind is critical to understanding geomagnetic storms. We use a database of 144 storms from 2010-2019 and showed how these storms affect magnetometers on the ground. We also extracted profiles of the magnetic field along the magnetotail. Skill scores are assigned to the individual stations on the ground based on how well they can forecast magnetic indeces like SYM-H and AL. We us our Space Weather Modeling Framework’s geospace configuration. Our model includes coupling of 3D MHD solver (BATSRUS), the Rice Convection Model, and the Ridley Ionospheric Model. We have found that all stations have a positive Heidke Skill Score which is encouraging in terms of space weather forecasting.