Abstract
Methane (CH4) emissions from climate-sensitive
ecosystems within the northern permafrost region represent a large but
highly uncertain source, with current estimates spanning a factor of
seven (11 – 75 Tg CH4 yr-1).
Accelerating permafrost thaw threatens significant increases in
pan-Arctic CH4 emissions, amplifying the permafrost
carbon feedback. We used airborne imaging spectroscopy with meter-scale
spatial resolution and broad coverage to identify a previously
undiscovered CH4 hotspot adjacent to an intensively
studied thermokarst lake in interior Alaska. Hotspot emissions were
confined to < 1% of the 10 ha study area. Ground-based
chamber measurements confirmed average daily fluxes of 1,170 mg
CH4 m-2 d-1, with
extreme daily maxima up to 24,200 mg CH4
m-2 d-1. Ground-based geophysics
measurements revealed thawed permafrost at and directly beneath the
CH4 hotspot, extending to a depth of ~15
m, indicating that the intense CH4 emissions likely
originated from recently thawed permafrost. Emissions from the hotspot
accounted for ~40% of total diffusive
CH4 emissions from the entire study area. Combining
these results with hotspot statistics from our 70,000
km2 airborne survey across Alaska and northwestern
Canada, we estimate that terrestrial thermokarst hotspots currently emit
1.1 (0.1 – 5.2) Tg CH4 yr-1, or
roughly 4% of the annual pan-Arctic wetland budget from just 0.01% of
the northern permafrost land area. Our results suggest that significant
proportions of pan-Arctic CH4 emissions originate from
disproportionately small areas of previously undetermined thermokarst
emissions hotspots, and that pan-Arctic CH4 emissions
may increase non-linearly as thermokarst processes increase under a
warming climate.