Figure 1. The steric contribution to sea level rise plotted
against the temporal average of GMST for different periods. Black dots
show observational estimates from AR6 with 1𝜎 ranges. Colored dots show
the response of the individual models in the CMIP6 archive in different
periods and for different scenarios. Covariance ellipses show the 1𝜎
range of the 2016-2050 (solid) and 2051-2100 (dashed), when models are
weighted according to equation 1. |