Figure 1. The steric contribution to sea level rise plotted against the temporal average of GMST for different periods. Black dots show observational estimates from AR6 with 1𝜎 ranges. Colored dots show the response of the individual models in the CMIP6 archive in different periods and for different scenarios. Covariance ellipses show the 1𝜎 range of the 2016-2050 (solid) and 2051-2100 (dashed), when models are weighted according to equation 1.