Data-driven worldwide quantification of large-scale hydroclimatic
co-variation patterns and comparison with reanalysis and Earth System
modeling
Abstract
Large-scale co-variations of freshwater fluxes and storages on land can
critically regulate green (vegetation) and blue (hydrosphere) water
balances, land-atmosphere interactions, and hydroclimatic hazards. Such
essential co-variation patterns still remain largely unknown over large
scales and in different climates around the world. To contribute to
bridging this large-scale knowledge gap, we synthesize and decipher
different data time series over the period 1980-2010 for 6405
hydrological catchments around the world. From observation-based data,
we identify dominant large-scale co-variation patterns between main
freshwater fluxes and soil moisture (SM) for different world parts and
climates. These co-variation patterns are also compared with those
obtained from reanalysis products and Earth System Models (ESMs). The
observation-based datasets robustly show the strongest large-scale
hydrological co-variation relationship to be that between SM and runoff
(R), consistently across the study catchments and their different
climate characteristics. The predominantly strongest large-scale SM-R
co-variation relationship, however, is also the most misrepresented by
ESMs and reanalysis products, followed by that between precipitation and
R. Comparison between corresponding observation-based and ESM results
also shows that an ESM may perform well for individual hydrological
variables, but still fail in representing the patterns of large-scale
co-variations between variables.