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A Dusty Atmospheric River Brings Floods to the Middle East
  • Amin Dezfuli,
  • Michael G. Bosilovich,
  • Donifan Barahona
Amin Dezfuli
NASA-GSFC and SSAI, NASA-GSFC and SSAI, NASA-GSFC and SSAI

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

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Michael G. Bosilovich
NASA GSFC GMAO, NASA GSFC GMAO, NASA GSFC GMAO
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Donifan Barahona
NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center
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Abstract

Torrential rainfall and rapid snowmelt in April 2017 caused deadly floods in northwestern Iran. An atmospheric river (AR), propagating across the Middle East and North Africa, was found responsible for this extreme event. The snowmelt was triggered by precipitation and warm advection associated with the AR. Total satellite-based rainfall for April 2017 was moderately below normal, suggesting that a heavy flood can happen during dry years. The AR was fed by moisture from the Mediterranean and Red Seas. Despite its adverse societal consequences, this event was beneficial to the recovery of the desiccating Lake Urmia. The impacts of this AR were not limited to flooding; it also facilitated dust transport to the region. This distinct characteristic of the ARs in the Middle East is attributed to major mineral dust sources located along their pathways. This event was reasonably predicted at 7-day lead time, crucially important for successful early warning systems.
16 Dec 2021Published in Geophysical Research Letters volume 48 issue 23. 10.1029/2021GL095441