Abstract
As part of NASA’s Earth Science Technology Office, the Advanced
Information Systems Technology (AIST) Program defines an Earth System
Digital Twin (ESDT) as an interactive and integrated multidomain,
multiscale, digital replica of the state and temporal evolution of Earth
systems that dynamically integrates: Relevant Earth system models and
simulations Other relevant models (e.g., related to the world’s
infrastructure and human activity); continuous and timely (including
near real time and direct readout) observations (e.g., space, air,
ground, over/underwater, Internet of Things (IoT), socioeconomic)
Long-time records Analytics and artificial intelligence tools. Effective
ESDTs will enable users to run hypothetical or “what-if” scenarios to
improve the continuous assessment and prediction of Earth system
processes, natural phenomena and human activities as well as their many
interactions, and to ensure optimal mitigation and response to these
phenomena. Toward this goal, the AIST Program is developing individual
technologies and a few pilots. Some of the technologies that are being
considered include: agile interoperability between measurement
acquisition and science investigations; moving from mono-discipline to
multi-discipline interconnected models; digital thread developments to
provide communication links to all digital twin capabilities and to
enable design requirements, records, provenance, and system
reconfigurations to be easily coordinated; concepts and technologies for
developing “federated ESDTs”; multi-scale simulations, statistics,
uncertainty quantification, and causality methodologies; high-end
computing and surrogate models to optimize the computational efficiency
of “what-if” investigations; and innovative user interfaces and
visualization methods capable of visualizing complex systems of systems.