Incorporating K-RDT Product into SAS Deep Convection Scheme for Improved
Short-term Prediction of Heavy Rainfall in South Korea
Abstract
In this study, we examined the potential of the Korea Rapid-Development
Thunderstorm (K-RDT) product obtained from a geostationary
meteorological satellite to improve the short-term prediction of heavy
rainfall caused by a mesoscale convective system over South Korea.
Specifically, we utilized a simple nudging technique to integrate K-RDT
data into the Simplified Arakawa Schubert (SAS) deep convection scheme
of the Global/Regional Integrated Model System (GRIMs) Regional Model
program (RMP). Our analysis focuses on selected cases of heavy rainfall.
The nudging experiments outperformed the control experiments in terms of
precipitation forecasts. Notably, the experiment that used longer
nudging times produced the best results. Our results also demonstrate
that the K-RDT, with its resolution of 1 km, can detect small-scale
convective cells that have clear impacts on large-scale atmospheric
fields. This suggests that incorporating such small-scale information
into numerical weather prediction (NWP) models can significantly improve
forecasting skill, especially when the model cannot represent
subgrid-scale convection.