Impact of Environmental Conditions on Grass Phenology in the Regional
Climate Model COSMO-CLM
Abstract
Phenology and its interannual variability are altered through
anthropogenic climate change. Feedbacks of plant phenology to the
regional climate system affect fluxes of energy, water, CO2, biogenic
volatile organic compounds as well as canopy conductance, surface
roughness length, and are influencing the seasonality of albedo. We
performed simulations with the regional climate model COSMO-CLM (CCLM)
with 3km horizontal resolution over Germany covering the period 1999 to
2015 to study the sensitivity of grass phenology to different
environmental conditions by implementing a new phenology module. We
provide new evidence that the standard annually-recurring phenology of
CCLM is improved by the new calculation of leaf area index (LAI)
dependent upon surface temperature, day length, and water availability.
Results with the new phenology implemented in the model showed a
significantly higher correlation with observations than simulations with
the standard phenology. The interannual variability of LAI, the
representation of years with extremely warm spring or extremely dry
summer, and the start of the growing season also improved with the new
phenology module. The number of hot days with maximum temperature
exceeding the 90th percentile and heavy precipitation events
(> 20mm) with the new phenology are in very good agreement
with the observations. We also show that lower LAI values in summer lead
to a decrease of latent heat flux in the model due to less
evapotranspiration. The CCLM simulation with improved representation of
the phenology should be used in future applications with an extension on
more plant functional types.