Limits on runoff episode duration for early Mars: integrating lake
hydrology and climate models
Abstract
Fluvio-lacustrine features on the martian surface attest to a climate
that was radically different in the past. Since climate models have
difficulty sustaining a liquid hydrosphere at the surface, multiple
cycles of runoff episodes may have characterized the ancient Mars
climate. A fundamental question thus remains: what was the duration of
these runoff-producing episodes? Here we use morphometric measurements
from newly identified coupled lake systems (containing both an open- and
a closed-basin lake). We combined hydrological balances with
precipitation outputs from climate models, and found that breaching
runoff episodes likely lasted 10^2–10^5 yr; other episodes may
have been shorter but could not be longer. Runoff episode durations are
model-dependent and spatially variable, and no climate model scenario
can satisfy a unique duration for all coupled systems. In the near
future, these quantitative constraints on early Mars lake persistence
may be tested through in situ observations from Perseverance rover.