loading page

One-at-a-time Parameter Perturbation Ensemble of the Community Land Model, version 5.1
  • +27
  • Daniel Kennedy,
  • Katherine Dagon,
  • David M Lawrence,
  • Rosie A. Fisher,
  • Benjamin M Sanderson,
  • Nathan Collier,
  • Forrest M Hoffman,
  • Charles D. Koven,
  • Samuel Levis,
  • Keith W Oleson,
  • Claire Marie Zarakas,
  • Yifan Cheng,
  • Adrianna Foster,
  • Xingjie Lu,
  • Megan Fowler,
  • Linnia Hawkins,
  • Thomas Kavoo,
  • Erik Ben Kluzek,
  • Sanjiv Kumar,
  • Peter J Lawrence,
  • Danica Lombardozzi,
  • Andrew J Newman,
  • Jacquelyn Shuman,
  • Abigail L.S. Swann,
  • Sean Swenson,
  • Guoqiang Tang,
  • William R Wieder,
  • Andrew W. Wood,
  • Fang Li,
  • Yiqi Luo
Daniel Kennedy
National Center for Atmospheric Research

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

Author Profile
Katherine Dagon
National Center for Atmospheric Research
Author Profile
David M Lawrence
National Center for Atmospheric Research (UCAR)
Author Profile
Rosie A. Fisher
CICERO Center for International Climate Research
Author Profile
Benjamin M Sanderson
CICERO Centre for International Climate Research
Author Profile
Nathan Collier
Computational Earth Sciences Group, Oak Ridge National Laboratory
Author Profile
Forrest M Hoffman
Oak Ridge National Laboratory (DOE)
Author Profile
Charles D. Koven
Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (DOE)
Author Profile
Samuel Levis
The Climate Corporation
Author Profile
Keith W Oleson
NCAR, USA
Author Profile
Claire Marie Zarakas
University of Washington
Author Profile
Yifan Cheng
University at Buffalo
Author Profile
Adrianna Foster
UCAR
Author Profile
Xingjie Lu
School of Atmospheric Sciences, Sun Yat-sen University
Author Profile
Megan Fowler
National Center for Atmospheric Research
Author Profile
Linnia Hawkins
Columbia University
Author Profile
Thomas Kavoo
Unknown
Author Profile
Erik Ben Kluzek
NCAR
Author Profile
Sanjiv Kumar
Auburn University
Author Profile
Peter J Lawrence
National Center for Atmospheric Research (UCAR)
Author Profile
Danica Lombardozzi
National Center for Atmospheric Research
Author Profile
Andrew J Newman
National Center for Atmospheric Research (UCAR)
Author Profile
Jacquelyn Shuman
National Center for Atmospheric Research (UCAR)
Author Profile
Abigail L.S. Swann
University of Washington
Author Profile
Sean Swenson
National Center for Atmospheric Research (UCAR)
Author Profile
Guoqiang Tang
National Center for Atmospheric Research
Author Profile
William R Wieder
National Center for Atmospheric Research
Author Profile
Andrew W. Wood
National Center for Atmospheric Research (UCAR)
Author Profile
Fang Li
Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences
Author Profile
Yiqi Luo
Cornell University
Author Profile

Abstract

Comprehensive land models are subject to significant parametric uncertainty, which can be hard to quantify due to the large number of parameters and high model computational costs. We constructed a large parameter perturbation ensemble (PPE) for the Community Land Model vesion 5.1 with biogeochemistry configuration (CLM5.1-BGC). We performed more than 2000 simulations perturbing 211 parameters across six forcing scenarios. This provides an expansive dataset, which can be used to identify the most influential parameters on a wide range of output variables globally, by biome, or by plant functional type. We found that parameter effects can exceed scenario effects and that a small number of parameters explains a large fraction of variance across our ensemble. The most important parameters can differ regionally and also based on the forcing scenario. The software infrastructure developed for this experiment has greatly reduced the human and computer time needed for CLM PPEs, which can facilitate routine investigation of parameter sensitivity and uncertainty, as well as automated calibration.
26 Sep 2024Submitted to ESS Open Archive
27 Sep 2024Published in ESS Open Archive