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Watershed Model Parameter Estimation in Low Data Environments
  • +7
  • Roja Garna,
  • Daniel Fuka,
  • Robin White,
  • Joshua Faulkner,
  • Elyce Buell,
  • Barbara Roqueto dos Reis,
  • Amy Collick,
  • Binyam Asfaw,
  • Sabrina Mehzabin,
  • Zach Easton
Roja Garna
Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

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Daniel Fuka
Virginia Tech
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Robin White
Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University
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Joshua Faulkner
University of Vermont
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Elyce Buell
Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University
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Barbara Roqueto dos Reis
Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University
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Amy Collick
Morehead State University
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Binyam Asfaw
Virginia Tech
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Sabrina Mehzabin
Virginia Tech
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Zach Easton
Virginia Tech
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Abstract

Watershed scale models are essential for determining best management practices (BMPs), but they contain many parameters that modelers cannot directly measure. Modelers commonly estimate these parameters through a calibration process based on observed streamflow and nutrient data. However, a lack of long-term streamflow records makes watershed model parameter estimation in low data environments (LDE) challenging for hydrologists. To reliably estimate parameters in LDE, a new calibration technique, simultaneous multi-basin calibration (SMC), was developed to estimate the parameters of several SWAT model initializations for newly instrumented USGS gages in the Lake Champlain Basin of Vermont, USA (Little Otter Creek-Monkton, West Branch Dead Creek, and East Branch Dead Creek). In SMC, SWAT models of each watershed were initialized following standard methods. Then, in order to increase information content, the simulated flow from each model and the corresponding measured flow were combined, and calibrated as one model using a differential evolution algorithm DEoptim. We compared the results obtained from the new technique with one of the most commonly used approaches for calibration in LDE: the similarity-based regionalization (SBR) based on a calibration of a nearby watershed with similar characteristics. In the SBR method, the calibrated parameters from a watershed with a more extended period of recorded data (donor watershed, Little Otter Creek-Ferrisburg) transfer to the LDE watersheds (receptor watersheds). We show that in SBR the uncertainty of the donor watershed model propagates through the receptor watershed model, this propagation does not occur in SMC. We demonstrated that the agreement between simulated and observed streamflow, via the Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) improved model performance from 1-20% using the SMC technique. Moreover, the calibrated soil storage parameters, including soil depth, available water capacity, and soil saturated hydraulic conductivity obtained from individual SMC and SBR models, were compared to the SSURGO soil database, where the SMC method provided parameter estimates that more closely matched SSURGO. This study demonstrated that a SMC method can outperform SBR in low data environments.