Abstract
Watershed scale models are essential for determining best management
practices (BMPs), but they contain many parameters that modelers cannot
directly measure. Modelers commonly estimate these parameters through a
calibration process based on observed streamflow and nutrient data.
However, a lack of long-term streamflow records makes watershed model
parameter estimation in low data environments (LDE) challenging for
hydrologists. To reliably estimate parameters in LDE, a new calibration
technique, simultaneous multi-basin calibration (SMC), was developed to
estimate the parameters of several SWAT model initializations for newly
instrumented USGS gages in the Lake Champlain Basin of Vermont, USA
(Little Otter Creek-Monkton, West Branch Dead Creek, and East Branch
Dead Creek). In SMC, SWAT models of each watershed were initialized
following standard methods. Then, in order to increase information
content, the simulated flow from each model and the corresponding
measured flow were combined, and calibrated as one model using a
differential evolution algorithm DEoptim. We compared the results
obtained from the new technique with one of the most commonly used
approaches for calibration in LDE: the similarity-based regionalization
(SBR) based on a calibration of a nearby watershed with similar
characteristics. In the SBR method, the calibrated parameters from a
watershed with a more extended period of recorded data (donor watershed,
Little Otter Creek-Ferrisburg) transfer to the LDE watersheds (receptor
watersheds). We show that in SBR the uncertainty of the donor watershed
model propagates through the receptor watershed model, this propagation
does not occur in SMC. We demonstrated that the agreement between
simulated and observed streamflow, via the Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency
(NSE) improved model performance from 1-20% using the SMC technique.
Moreover, the calibrated soil storage parameters, including soil depth,
available water capacity, and soil saturated hydraulic conductivity
obtained from individual SMC and SBR models, were compared to the SSURGO
soil database, where the SMC method provided parameter estimates that
more closely matched SSURGO. This study demonstrated that a SMC method
can outperform SBR in low data environments.