Identification of Repeating Earthquakes: Misconception of Waveform
Similarity and a Physics-based Solution
Abstract
Identification of repeating earthquakes (repeaters) usually depends on
waveform similarity expressed as the corresponding cross-correlation
coefficient (CC) above a prescribed threshold, typically ranging from
0.70 to 0.98. However, the robustness and effectiveness of such a
strategy have never been thoroughly examined. In this study, we examine
whether CC is a valid proxy for repeater identification through both
synthetic and real earthquake experiments. We reveal that CC is
controlled by not only the inter-event distance but also many other
factors, including station azimuth, epicentral distance, velocity
structure, etc. Consequently, CC lacks the resolution in identifying
true repeaters. We propose a physics-based approach that considers both
inter-event separation and rupture radius. For an event pair to be true
repeaters, their inter-event separation must be smaller than the rupture
radius of the larger event. Our results imply that a systematic recheck
of previously identified repeaters and associated
interpretations/hypotheses may be important and necessary.