Complex 3D Migration and Delayed Triggering of Hydraulic
Fracturing-Induced Seismicity
Abstract
Earthquakes resulting from hydraulic fracturing (HF) can have delayed
triggering relative to injection commencement over a varied range of
time scales, with many cases exhibiting the largest events near/after
well completion. This poses serious challenges for risk mitigation and
hazard assessment. Here, we document a high-resolution,
three-dimensional source migration process with delayed mainshock
triggering that is controlled by local hydrogeological conditions. Our
results reveal that poroelastic effects might contribute to induced
seismicity, but are insufficient to activate a non-critically stressed
fault of sufficient size. The rapid pore-pressure build-up from HF can
be very localized and capable of producing large, felt earthquakes on
non-critically stressed fault segments. We interpret the delayed
triggering as a manifestation of pore-pressure build-up along
pre-existing faults needed to facilitate seismic failure. Our findings
can deepen our understanding of the current stress state of crustal
faults and also explain why so few injection operations are seismogenic.