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Complex 3D Migration and Delayed Triggering of Hydraulic Fracturing-Induced Seismicity
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  • Honn Kao,
  • Bei Wang,
  • Dawei Gao,
  • Ryan Visser,
  • Ryan Schultz,
  • Rebecca M. Harrington
Honn Kao
Geological Survey of Canada

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

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Bei Wang
University of Victoria, Canada
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Dawei Gao
University of Victoria
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Ryan Visser
Geological Survey of Canada
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Ryan Schultz
Stanford University
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Rebecca M. Harrington
Ruhr University Bochum
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Abstract

Earthquakes resulting from hydraulic fracturing (HF) can have delayed triggering relative to injection commencement over a varied range of time scales, with many cases exhibiting the largest events near/after well completion. This poses serious challenges for risk mitigation and hazard assessment. Here, we document a high-resolution, three-dimensional source migration process with delayed mainshock triggering that is controlled by local hydrogeological conditions. Our results reveal that poroelastic effects might contribute to induced seismicity, but are insufficient to activate a non-critically stressed fault of sufficient size. The rapid pore-pressure build-up from HF can be very localized and capable of producing large, felt earthquakes on non-critically stressed fault segments. We interpret the delayed triggering as a manifestation of pore-pressure build-up along pre-existing faults needed to facilitate seismic failure. Our findings can deepen our understanding of the current stress state of crustal faults and also explain why so few injection operations are seismogenic.