Expansion of Phragmites australis in a Mississippi Estuary Determined
from Aerial Image Data
Abstract
Coastal marsh extent is a key variable in the protection of inland areas
from storm surge, flooding, and erosion. Vegetation composition is also
an important factor in the functional characteristics of coastal marsh
areas in terms of both wildlife value and wave energy attenuation. As
pressures from accelerating sea level rise and anthropogenic stressors
grow, the protection of coastal wetlands will be increasingly essential
in mitigating coastal change and preserving habitat to support fisheries
and other wildlife. The increase in extent of the aggressive Phragmites
australis (Cav.) Trin. ex Steud. (Common Reed) in several of
Mississippi’s coastal marsh areas raises questions about how these
marshes may evolve in the future, in terms of both spatial extent and
ecosystem function. The goals of this study were to quantify the change
in extent of P. australis along the West Pascagoula River using aerial
image data and to identify the areas of greatest expansion. To assess
the possible influences of salinity and wave energy, two areas were
examined: one at the mouth of the river delta as it enters the
Mississippi Sound, and one more protected inland area with lower
salinity. A supervised maximum likelihood algorithm was used to create
land cover classifications at 1 meter GSD for calendar years 1996, 2010,
2014 and 2018, with land cover classified as P. australis, other marsh
vegetation, marsh-upland ecotone, wooded areas, or water. Per-pixel
change detections were computed among the classification images to
assess areal change in P. australis extent as compared with other land
cover types. Results show an increase in P. australis extent of 157 ha
(approximately 1,960%) between 1996 (8 ha) and 2018 (165 ha), with
greater expansion in the inland part of the study area. These land cover
classifications will also be used to quantify shoreline movement for P.
australis-dominated shorelines as compared with other marsh habitats,
providing insights into past and future responses of P. australis to
changes in sea level compared with neighboring marsh vegetation.