No Robust Internal Connection Between Low Frequency North Atlantic and
North Pacific Climate Patterns
Abstract
We analyze the climatic relationship between the North Atlantic and
North Pacific ocean basins by cross-correlating their primary
low-frequency climate mode indices, Atlantic Multidecadal Variability
for the North Atlantic and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation and the
Victoria Mode for the North Pacific. These cross-correlations are then
tested to determine if a robust internal connection exists. We use three
methods to do so: 1) a bootstrapping statistical significance method
testing the maximum value of the observed cross-correlation, 2)
sensitivity testing by varying the starting date and period length, and
3) using a multi-model large ensemble to compare nearly 300 unique
realizations of this relationship across six models. Our results all
support that the relationship is indistinguishable from noise and thus
that no robust internal relationship exists between the North Atlantic
and North Pacific ocean basins.