Spatiotemporal evolution and non-stationary characteristics of surface
temperature in China from 1959 to 2018
Abstract
Since the 20th century, global warming has become a major climate change
problem, which significantly affects the sustainable development of the
world, China holds the unenviable position of greatly contributing to
global warming. Based on the data of 1728 national surface
meteorological stations in China from 1959 to 2018, this paper explores
the temporal and spatial evolution and non-stationary characteristics of
surface temperature in 612 effective grids, and conducts an empirical
analysis of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, Yangtze River Delta and Pearl River
Delta Urban Agglomeration (BTHUA, YRDUA, PRDUA). Several key conclusions
are reached: (1) The annual average surface temperature rose at wave
type, with an increase of 0.995 ℃ and a warming rate of 0.166 ℃ per
decade in China from 1959 to 2018-global warming has become increasingly
serious in the last 30 years, the areas of highest warming are mainly
concentrated in North, East, Northwest and Northeast China. (2) The
surface air temperature has strong auto-correlation, the
auto-correlation coefficients of 49.35%-96.08% grids have significant
positive correlation at the level of 0.05 in 13 lag periods. (3) The
auto-correlation coefficient of 96.08% grids annual average temperature
lag 1 period exceeds the critical value of the significance level, the
auto-correlation coefficient showed a gradual decreasing trend with
increasing lag period, indicating the temperature data had
non-stationary characteristics. (4) The surface temperature showed a
wave-like upward trend in BTHUA, YRDUA and PRDUA from 1959 to 2018, with
temperature increases of 1.124℃, 1.029℃and 1.048℃ respectively, the
warming rates were 0.187℃, 0.171℃ and 0.175℃ per decade respectively.