Mock-Walker Simulations: Mean Climates, Responses to Warming and
Transition to Double-Cell Circulations
Abstract
Improving understanding of the two-way interactions between clouds and
large-scale atmospheric circulations requires modeling set-ups that can
resolve cloud-scale processes, while also including representations of
the circulations themselves. In this study, we investigate the potential
for mock-Walker simulations to help untangle these interactions by
assessing their ability to reproduce the observed climate over the
equatorial Pacific. Mock-Walker simulations with realistic zonal
sea-surface temperature (SST) gradients show qualitative similarities
with reanalysis and satellite data, though notable differences include
(1) the presence of double-celled overturning circulations, (2) extreme
upper tropospheric dryness over the cold pools, and (3) substantially
weaker longwave cloud radiative effects. The double-cell circulations
are part of a transition from single to double cells as mean SST is
increased, with the transition occurring near present day temperatures.
The circulation changes dominate the response of mock-Walker simulations
to warming, though their effects are smaller for relatively weak zonal
SST gradients. Mock-Walker simulations also exhibit a wide range of
climate sensitivities, due to cloud feedbacks that are strongly negative
for larger SST gradients and strongly positive for weaker SST gradients.
Finally, we show that radiative-subsidence balance can be used to
explain the development of the double cells, but are unable to further
explain the dynamics of the transition given the complex vertical
profiles of stability and atmospheric radiative cooling in these
simulations. Since Earth’s present-day climate is close to our simulated
transition to a double-celled circulation, these dynamics merit further
investigation.