Exploration of synthetic terrestrial snow mass estimation via
assimilation of AMSR-E brightness temperature spectral differences using
the Catchment land surface model and support vector machine regression
Abstract
This study explores improvements in the estimation of snow water
equivalent (SWE) over snow-covered terrain using an ensemble-based data
assimilation (DA) framework. The NASA Catchment land surface model is
used as the prognostic model in the assimilation of AMSR-E passive
microwave (PMW) brightness temperature spectral differences
($\Delta$$T_b$) where support vector machine (SVM)
regression is employed as the observation operator. A series of
synthetic twin experiments are conducted using different precipitation
boundary conditions. The results show, at times, DA degrades modeled SWE
estimates (compared to the land surface model without assimilation) over
complex terrain. To mitigate this degradation, a physically-constrained
approach using different $\Delta$$T_b$ for
shallow-to-medium or medium-to-deep snow conditions along with a
â\euroœdata-thinningâ\euro strategy are explored. Overall, both
strategies improve the model ability to encapsulate more of the
evaluation data and mitigate model ensemble collapse. The
physically-constrained DA and 3-day thinning DA strategies show marginal
improvements of basin-averaged SWE in terms of reduction of bias from
$10$ mm (baseline DA) to $-5.2$ mm and $-$2.5 mm, respectively.
When the estimated forcings are greater than the truth, the baseline DA,
physically-constrained DA, and 3-day thinning DA improve SWE the most
with approximately 30\%, 31\%, and
24\% reduction of RMSE (relative to OL), respectively.
Overall, these results highlight the limited utility of PMW
$\Delta$$T_b$ observations in the estimation of snow
in complex terrain, but do demonstrate that a physically-based
constraint approach and data thinning strategy can add more utility to
the $\Delta$$T_b$ observations in the estimation of
SWE.