Abstract
The higher frequency and intensity of sustained heat events have
increased the demand for cooling energy across the globe. Current
estimates of summer-time energy demand are primarily based on Cooling
Degree Days (CDD), representing the number of degrees a day’s average
temperature exceeds a predetermined comfort zone temperature. Through a
comprehensive analysis of the historical energy demand data across the
USA, we show that the commonly used CDD estimates fall significantly
short (±25%) of capturing regional thermal comfort levels. Moreover,
given the increasingly compelling evidence that air temperature alone is
not sufficient for characterizing human thermal comfort, we extend the
widely-used CDD calculation to heat index, which accounts for both air
temperature and humidity. Our results indicate significant
mis-estimation of regional thermal comfort when humidity is ignored. Our
findings have significant implications for the security, sustainability,
and resilience of the grid under climate change.