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Air quality response in China linked to the 2019 novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) mitigation
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  • Kazuyuki Miyazaki,
  • Kevin W. Bowman,
  • Takashi Sekiya,
  • Zhe Jiang,
  • Xiaokang Chen,
  • Henk Eskes,
  • Muye Ru,
  • Yuqiang Zhang,
  • Drew T. Shindell
Kazuyuki Miyazaki
Jet Propulsion Laboratory

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

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Kevin W. Bowman
Jet Propulsion Lab (NASA)
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Takashi Sekiya
Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology
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Zhe Jiang
University of Science and Technology of China
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Xiaokang Chen
University of Science and Technology of China
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Henk Eskes
KNMI
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Muye Ru
Duke University
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Yuqiang Zhang
Duke University
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Drew T. Shindell
Duke University
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Abstract

Efforts to stem the spread of COVID-19 in China hinged on severe restrictions to human movement starting January 23rd, 2020 in Wuhan and subsequently to other provinces. Here, we quantify the ancillary impacts on air pollution and human health using inverse emissions estimates based on multiple satellite observations. We find that Chinese NOx emissions were reduced by 36% from early January to mid-February, with more than 80% of reductions occurring after their respective lockdown in most provinces. These emissions declines increased surface ozone by up to 16 ppb over northern China but decreased PM2.5 by up to 23 µgm nationwide. Air pollution appears to have substantially offset hospital admissions related to COVID-19, augmenting mitigation efforts, such as in the Hubei province with ~400 reduced admissions. Changes in human exposure are associated with about 2,100 increased ozone-related morbidity incidences and avoidance of at least 60,000 PM2.5-related morbidity incidences.