New Land Use Change Data Reveal Significantly Altered Floodplains in the
Mississippi River Basin
Abstract
Despite human-induced changes in floodplains over the past century,
comprehensive data of long-term land use change within floodplains of
large river basins are limited. Data of long-term and large-scale
floodplain land use are required to effectively quantify floodplain
functions and development trajectories. They also provide a holistic
perspective on the future of floodplain management and restoration –
and concomitantly flood-risk mitigation. Here, we present the first
available dataset that provides spatially explicit estimates of land use
change along the floodplains of the Mississippi River Basin (MRB)
covering 60 years (1941-2000) at a 250-m resolution. We derived this MRB
floodplain land use change dataset from two input data sources: (i) the
high-resolution global floodplain extent dataset GFPLAIN250m, and (ii)
the annual FOREcasting SCEnarios of Land-use Change (FORE-SCE) dataset
for the continental United States. Our results suggest that MRB
floodplains have transitioned irreversibly from natural ecosystems to
predominantly agricultural land use (e.g., more than 10,000
km2 of wetlands have been lost due to agricultural
expansion). Developed land use within the floodplain has also steadily
increased. The dataset is publicly available through HydroShare:
https://gishub.org/mrb-data as well as an interactive online map
interface: https://gishub.org/mrb-floodplain. These products will
support MRB resilience and sustainability goals by advancing data-driven
decision making on floodplain restoration, buyout, and conservation
scenarios.