Abstract
Endogeneity or reverse causality can lead to biased estimation of
effects and to inaccurate interpretations of cause and effect water-use
relationships. However, biased estimations of the effects of designed
interventions on water–related behaviour are rarely discussed. This
study investigates the endogeneity of psychological factors in
water-related behaviour using an instrument variable (IV) approach. Data
from eight household water treatment (HWT) studies in Asia, Africa, and
South America are utilized. A combination of several socio-economic
characteristics, such as education and accessibility, is used as a
control variable and three psychological factors, i.e., perception of
risk, attitude, and social norms, are used as predictors of the adoption
of HWT. Variables related to country level institutional quality are
used as the IVs to remove the effects of reverse causality of households
having adopted HWT on the psychological factors. Results show that
psychological factors and HWT adoption indeed co-evolve, resulting in
the emergence of reverse causalities, indicating that endogeneity exists
in the water-related behaviour. Institutional quality indicators are
found to be valid instruments for psychological factors such as attitude
and norms towards HWT, but not households’ perception of risk in context
of HWT. This suggests that institutional performance “heavily”
influences households’ attitude and norms regarding water-related
behaviour. The effects of households’ attitude and norms on HWT
behaviour are underestimated by 59 and 40%, respectively, if the
feedback effects of adoption behaviour on psychological factors are not
considered. Further, households’ experience of using water-related
technologies and external nudges, such as from policy makers, are more
important drivers of the behaviour compared to risk perception. Despite
the challenge of finding valid instruments for psychological factors,
the study recommends that the effects of reverse causality addressed
here need to be considered in future water-related behavioural studies.
The conventional regression analysis approaches that ignore such effects
are no longer suggested for analysing water-related behaviour.