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Enhanced atmospheric response to Gulf Stream SST anomalies in CAM6 simulations with 1/8-degree regional grid refinement over the North Atlantic
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  • Robert Jnglin Wills,
  • Adam Herrington,
  • Isla Simpson,
  • David Battisti
Robert Jnglin Wills
University of Washington

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

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Adam Herrington
National Center for Atmospheric Research
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Isla Simpson
National Center for Atmospheric Research
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David Battisti
University of Washington
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Abstract

North Atlantic sea-surface temperatures (SSTs) exhibit variability on seasonal to decadal timescales, providing a potential source of predictability for the atmospheric circulation and regional climate on these timescales. Recent work has shown that initialized climate models have skill in predicting the decadal evolution of North Atlantic SSTs [1], but this will only help to predict regional climate in the surrounding continents if models can correctly simulate the atmospheric response to these SST anomalies. There is growing evidence that models systematically underestimate the atmospheric response to extratropical SST anomalies [2], and that this may be rectified by increasing the atmospheric resolution to resolve mesoscale processes over ocean frontal zones [3]. Here, we investigate the large-scale atmospheric circulation response to idealized Gulf Stream SST anomalies in two configurations of the Community Atmospheric Model (CAM6), one with 1-degree resolution globally and one with regional grid refinement of 1/8-degree over the North Atlantic. The variable resolution configuration, which resolves mesoscale atmospheric processes, shows a large negative response of the wintertime North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) to a strengthening of the SST gradient across the Gulf Stream (a 2-standard-deviation NAO anomaly for SST anomalies that vary between ±2°C). The response is substantially weaker and has a different spatial structure in the lower resolution simulations. The large-scale atmospheric circulation response in the variable resolution simulations results from mesoscale processes that enhance convection over the Gulf Stream and lead to latent-heating and divergence anomalies in the upper troposphere. These results suggest that the atmospheric circulation response to extratropical SST anomalies may be fundamentally different at higher resolution. Regional refinement in key regions offers a potential pathway towards improving simulation of the atmospheric response to extratropical SST anomalies and thus improving multi-year regional climate predictions. [1] Yeager, S.G., et al., 2018, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0098.1. [2] Simpson, I.R., et al., 2018, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0168.1. [3] Czaja, A., et al., 2019, https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-019-00148-5.