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Xiaoning Wu

and 5 more

Idealized models can reveal insights into Earth’s climate system by reducing its complexities. However, their potential is undermined by the scarcity of fully coupled idealized models with components comparable to contemporary, comprehensive Earth System Models. To fill this gap, we compare and contrast the climates of two idealized planets which build on the Simpler Models initiative of the Community Earth System Model (CESM). Using the fully coupled CESM, the Aqua configuration is ocean-covered except for two polar land caps, and the Ridge configuration has an additional pole-to-pole grid-cell-wide continent. Contrary to most sea surface temperature profiles assumed for atmosphere-only aquaplanet experiments with the thermal maximum on the equator, the coupled Aqua configuration is characterized by a global cold belt of wind-driven equatorial upwelling, analogous to the eastern Pacific cold tongue. The presence of the meridional boundary on Ridge introduces zonal asymmetry in thermal and circulation features, similar to the contrast between western and eastern Pacific. This zonal asymmetry leads to a distinct climate state from Aqua, cooled by ~2{degree sign}C via the radiative feedback of clouds and water vapor. The meridional boundary of Ridge is also crucial for producing a more Earth-like climate state compared to Aqua, including features of atmospheric and ocean circulation, the seasonal cycle of the Intertropical Convergence Zone, and the meridional heat transport. The mean climates of these two basic configurations provide a baseline for exploring other idealized ocean geometries, and their application for investigating various features and scale interactions in the coupled climate system.

Xiaoning Wu

and 3 more

High-resolution climate models (~28 km grid spacing) can permit realistic simulations of tropical cyclones (TCs), thus enabling their investigation in relation to the climate system. On the global scale, previous works have demonstrated that the Community Atmosphere Model (CAM) version 5 presents a reasonable TC climatology under prescribed present-day (1980-2005) forcing. However, for the Western North Pacific (WNP) region, known biases in simulated TC genesis frequency and location under-represent the basin’s dominant share in observation. This study addresses these model biases in WNP by evaluating WNP TCs in a decadal simulation, and exploring potential improvements through nudging experiments. Among the major environmental controls of TC genesis, the lack of mid-level moisture is identified as the leading cause of the deficit in simulated WNP TC genesis over the Pacific Warm Pool. Subsequent seasonal experiments explore the effect of constraining the large-scale environment on TC development by nudging WNP temperature field towards reanalysis at various strengths. Temperature nudging elicits significant response in TC genesis and intensity development, as well as in moisture and convection over the Warm Pool. These responses are sensitive to the choice of nudging timescale. Overall, the nudging experiments demonstrate that improvements in the large-scale environment can lead to improvements in simulated TCs. The verification of the environmental controls for simulated TC genesis suggests future model developments in relation to model physics. The potential improvements will contribute to the understanding of how the mean state of current or future climates may give rise to extremes such as TCs.

Xiaoning Wu

and 4 more

Climate models at high resolution (~25 km horizontal grid spacing) can permit realistic simulations of tropical cyclones (TCs), thus promising the investigation of these high-impact extreme events under present and future climates. On the global scale, simulations with the Community Atmosphere Model version 5 (CAM5) present a reasonable TC climatology under prescribed present-day (1980-2005) sea surface temperature (SST) and greenhouse gas (GHG) forcing. However, for the disaster-prone western North Pacific (WNP) region, biases in TC genesis frequency and location persist across various configurations. The biases under-represent the basin’s share in global TC climatology, complicating the fidelity of future projections. This study addresses these model biases in WNP by evaluating the large-scale environmental controls of TC genesis in CAM5 with two aerosol configurations. Across the two configurations, the lack of mid-level moisture is consistently identified as the leading cause of the deficit in simulated WNP TC genesis. This lack of mid-level moisture in WNP TC main develop region is potentially linked to previously identified deficits in Pacific warm pool precipitation at high horizontal resolution in CAM5, as well as biases in the East Asian Summer Monsoon circulation and moisture transport. Additional CAM5 simulation experiments will explore the effect of moisture nudging on the large-scale environment and subsequent TC genesis, tracks, and intensity development. For a chosen year, simulations covering WNP peak TC season (July - October) under otherwise identical forcing (SST, GHG etc.) will be run with and without nudging the specific humidity field towards MERRA-2 reanalysis. The insight into the biases of basin-scale TC simulation under the present climate and potential improvements will help reduce the uncertainty in future-climate projections, in the interest of disaster risk management.

Levi G. Silvers

and 2 more

Previous work has found that as the surface warms the large-scale tropical circulations weaken, convective anvil cloud fraction decreases, and atmospheric static stability increases. Circulation changes inevitably lead to changes in the humidity and cloud fields which influence the surface energetics. The exchange of mass between the boundary layer and the midtroposphere has also been shown to weaken in global climate models. What has remained less clear is how robust these changes in the circulation are to different representations of convection, clouds, and microphysics in numerical models. We use simulations from the Radiative‐Convective Equilibrium Model Intercomparison Project (RCEMIP) to investigate the interaction between overturning circulations, surface temperature, and atmospheric moisture. We analyze the underlying mechanisms of these relationships using a 21-member model ensemble that includes both general circulation models and cloud resolving models. We find a large spread in the change of intensity of the overturning circulation. Both the range of the circulation intensity, and its change with warming can be explained by the range of the mean upward vertical velocity. There is also a consistent decrease in the exchange of mass between the boundary layer and the midtroposphere. However, the magnitude of the decrease varies substantially due to the range of responses in both mean precipitation and mean precipitable water. This work implies that despite well understood thermodynamic constraints, there is still a considerable ability for the cloud fields and the precipitation efficiency to drive a substantial range of tropical convective responses to warming.