Understanding Biases in E3SMv2 Simulated Cloud Droplet Number and
Aerosol Concentrations over the Southern Ocean
Abstract
The accurate representation of cloud droplet number concentration (Nd)
is crucial for predicting future climate. However, models often
underestimate Nd over the Southern Ocean (SO), where natural sources
dominate, and aerosols are composed primarily of marine biogenic sulfate
and sea spray. This study uses a range of diverse datasets to evaluate
and untangle biases in E3SMv2 simulated clouds, aerosols, and sulfur
species. The default E3SMv2 underestimates Nd over SO by a factor of 2
when compared with observations in 3km-resolution simulations. Updating
the dimethyl sulfide (DMS) emission and chemistry leads to a better
agreement between the model and the observations in Nd and boundary
layer aerosols, but low biases persist in the free tropospheric aerosol
concentrations larger than 70 nm, possibly attributable to insufficient
particle growth. Preliminary evaluation also reveals biases in simulated
sulfur species, including overestimation in DMS at high latitudes, and
in simulated sulfate mass concentration, highlighting the necessity for
further efforts to improve the model treatment of relevant processes.