A Model for Mid-Holocene - Present U.S. Mid-Atlantic Piedmont River
Corridor Sediment Budgets fit to Stratigraphic Data
Abstract
A floodplain sedimentation model quantifies sediment budgets for U.S.
mid-Atlantic Piedmont river corridors. Regional regression equations
estimate discharge events every 3 months, and (temporally invariant)
channel width and slope. River stage is assessed using steady uniform
flow equations, corrected for nearby mill dams. Sediment concentrations
are computed with a rating curve (defined for modern conditions by
gaging station data). Spatially uniform floodplain deposition occurs
during overbank flows, while stored sediment is eroded based on age.
Calibration to modern (1950-2017) floodplain sediment thicknesses
determines the effective sedimentation velocity, which is equivalent to
the settling rate of fine silt. Tuning the model to floodplain
stratigraphic data suggests that presettlement (before 1750) suspended
sediment concentrations were 5-8% of those prevailing today, while
legacy (1750-1950) sediment concentrations were 25-35% of present
values. Because the available stratigraphic data are not correlated with
maximum deposit age, the time of initial deposition is selected randomly
by the model, creating variable outcomes for any single set of model
parameters, resulting in an incomplete calibration of the model for
presettlement conditions. Nonetheless, the model accurately reproduces
the observed age distribution of floodplain deposits. All sediment
budgets components computed using the model increase monotonically from
presettlement time to the present, and the ratio of budget components
remains similar from one time period to the next. The model also
predicts that millennial timescales are needed for mid-Atlantic
floodplains to equilibrate following a change in sediment regime, a
finding with important implications for river corridor and watershed
restoration planning.