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Monitoring COVID-19 and Influenza: the added-value of a Severe Acute Respiratory Infection surveillance system in Portugal
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  • Ana Rita Torres,
  • Verónica Gómez,
  • Irina Kislaya,
  • Ana Paula Rodrigues,
  • Margarida Tavares,
  • Ana Catarina Pereira,
  • Débora Pereira,
  • Rita Côrte-Real,
  • Carlos Humberto Flores,
  • Nuno Verdasca,
  • Raquel Guiomar,
  • Ausenda Machado
Ana Rita Torres
Instituto Nacional de Saúde Doutor Ricardo Jorge

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

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Verónica Gómez
Instituto Nacional de Saude Doutor Ricardo Jorge IP
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Irina Kislaya
National Institute of Health Doctor Ricardo Jorge
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Ana Paula Rodrigues
National Institute of Health Doctor Ricardo Jorge
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Margarida Tavares
Centro Hospitalar Universitário de São João
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Ana Catarina Pereira
Centro Hospitalar de Lisboa Central EPE
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Débora Pereira
Centro Hospitalar Universitário de São João
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Rita Côrte-Real
Centro Hospitalar de Lisboa Central EPE
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Carlos Humberto Flores
Centro Hospitalar de Lisboa Central EPE
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Nuno Verdasca
National Institute of Health Doctor Ricardo Jorge
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Raquel Guiomar
National Institute of Health Doctor Ricardo Jorge
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Ausenda Machado
National Institute of Health Doctor Ricardo Jorge
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Abstract

Background Severe Acute Respiratory Infections (SARI) surveillance is recommended to assess severity of respiratory infections disease. In 2021, the National Institute of Health Doutor Ricardo Jorge, in collaboration with two central hospitals, implemented a SARI sentinel surveillance system based on electronic health registries. We describe its application in the 2021/2022 season and compare the evolution of SARI cases with the COVID-19 and influenza activity in two regions of Portugal. Methods We identified SARI cases based on ICD-10 codes for influenza-like illness, cardiovascular diagnosis, respiratory diagnosis and respiratory infection. Pearson correlation and cross-correlations between weekly SARI cases, weekly COVID-19 cases and the number of weekly positive samples for influenza were estimated. Results A high correlation between SARI cases or hospitalizations due to respiratory infection and COVID-19 incidence was obtained (ρ = 0.78 and ρ = 0.82, respectively). Weekly SARI hospitalizations detected the COVID-19 epidemic peak a week earlier. A weak correlation was observed between SARI cases and the number of positive samples for influenza (ρ = -0.20). However, if restricted to hospitalizations due to cardiovascular diagnosis, a moderate correlation was observed (ρ = 0.37). Moreover, hospitalizations due to cardiovascular diagnosis detected the increase of influenza epidemic activity a week earlier. Conclusion In the 2021/2022 season, the Portuguese SARI sentinel surveillance system pilot was able to early detect the 5th COVID-19 epidemic wave and the increase of influenza activity. Establishing complementary virological inpatient surveillance is vital to aid in understanding the relationship between respiratory virus epidemics and disease severity.