Abstract
It has been proven that assimilating winds from the Aeolus global
Doppler wind lidar would enhance the predictive skill of weather
forecast models. In this study, we use a series of Observing System
Experiments to examine how operational winds and Aeolus winds impact
Environment and Climate Change Canada’s global forecast system over the
data-sparse Arctic region. Aeolus winds improve the tropospheric wind
and temperature forecasts by about 0.7 to 0.9% of error reduction (a
15-20% effect compared to the impact of operational wind products),
while having little impact on the specific humidity field. In
particular, Aeolus winds have an impact on forecasts of strong wind days
on the wind and temperature fields that is double the impact of the
forecasts of less intense wind days and provides a disproportionate
improvement to forecasts on these days compared to other operational
wind measurements. These findings suggest significant potential for
global doppler wind lidar observations to enhance severe-weather
prediction in polar regions.