Abstract
Background The incidence of thyroid cancer is increasing globally due to
the increase in detection of subclinical, low volume papillary thyroid
microcarcinomas (PTMC) (<1cm). Several international groups
have recommended an active surveillance approach for this low-risk
disease. In contrast to many other countries, the UK’s approach to
thyroid nodules is to avoid detection of incidental lesions where
appropriate. Objective This study aims to establish the proportion of
patients with thyroid cancer in the UK that would benefit from active
surveillance. Design, participants, and outcome measures: Individuals
with PTMC in NHS Lothian from 2009-2020 were reviewed from a local
thyroid cancer database. The mode of detection of PTMC and proportion of
patients who might benefit from active surveillance were established.
Results From 651 individuals with differentiated thyroid cancer managed
over 12-year period, 185 individuals with PTMC were identified (28.4%).
The majority of PTMC 151/185 (81.6%) were either diagnosed
post-operatively following thyroidectomy for benign disease or with
nodal disease. Only 24 individuals with PTMC were identified following
palpable thyroid nodule, incidental finding on imaging and surveillance
screening. Therefore, when the indication for surgery was considered,
only 24/651 (3.7%) patients were identified pre-operatively and would
therefore be realistic candidates for active surveillance. Conclusion
Less than 4% of patients with thyroid cancer in the UK would be
appropriate for active surveillance. Rather than developing programs to
deal with this minority of patients, focus should be maintained on
minimizing detection of these low-risk cases.