Contribution of Climate Change and Urbanization to the Variation of
Extreme Precipitation in the Urban Agglomerations over the Loess Plateau
Abstract
With global warming and rapid urbanization, urban agglomerations over
the Loess Plateau (LP) are suffering from various urban disasters.
Urbanization has aggravated the decreasing trends of extreme
precipitation in Taiyuan and Xi’an urban agglomerations (UAs) and
enhanced the increasing trends of extreme precipitation in Luoyang,
Hohhot and Xining UAs during 1979–2018. Meanwhile, the number of light
rain days decreases in almost all the cities, indicating the sensitivity
of light rain days to urbanization. The climate change is a primary
contributor to the change of urban precipitation during 1980–2000.
However, the urbanization contribution has been increasing gradually
since 2000, and the urbanization further amplifies the trend of extreme
precipitation caused by the climate change. In terms of the physical
mechanisms, the rapid increasing surface temperature and aerosol
particles are closely related to the urban precipitation. Our findings
provide a systematic understanding of the urbanization effects on the
extreme precipitation over the LP and may play an important role in the
mitigation of urban disasters.