Abstract
Parameter estimation is one of the most challenging tasks in large-scale
distributed modeling, because of the high dimensionality of the
parameter space. Relating model parameters to catchment/landscape
characteristics reduces the number of parameters, enhances physical
realism, and allows the transfer of hydrological model parameters in
time and space. This study presents the first large-scale application of
automatic parameter transfer function (TF) estimation for a complex
hydrological model. The Function Space Optimization (FSO) method can
automatically estimate TF structures and coefficients for distributed
models. We apply FSO to the mesoscale Hydrologic Model (mHM,
mhm-ufz.org), which is the only available distributed model that
includes a priori defined TFs for all its parameters. FSO is used to
estimate new TFs for the parameters “saturated hydraulic conductivity”
and “field capacity”, which both influence a range of hydrological
processes. The setup of mHM from a previous study serves as a benchmark.
The estimated TFs resulted in predictions in 222 validation basins with
a median NSE of 0.68, showing that even with 5 years of calibration
data, high performance in ungauged basins can be achieved. The
performance is similar to the benchmark results, showing that the
automatic TFs can achieve comparable results to TFs that were developed
over years using expert knowledge. In summary, the findings present a
step towards automatic TF estimation of model parameters for distributed
models.