Abstract
Although the majority of microalgal species reproduce asexually for
large parts of the growth season, most population genetic studies have
rarely found clones in microalgal blooms. Instead, population genetic
studies have identified large intraspecific diversity in most microalgal
species. This paradox of frequent asexual reproduction but low number of
clones creates challenges when interpreting the proportion of clones and
distinct genotypes in natural microalgal populations. To estimate the
proportion of clones and genotype richness, we created a computer model
that simulates the composition of microalgal populations after a defined
period of exponential growth. We simulated the probability of picking
clones of the same genotype from this population as a function of
initial genotype diversity, intraspecific differences in growth rates
and sample size. This model was applied to five microalgal species for
which high-resolution population genetic data and population growth
rates based on monitoring data were available. The number of distinct
genotypes in each population was extrapolated from the model outputs and
the observed proportion of clones in the respective population genetic
studies. The estimates from our simulation suggested that the genotype
richness in most blooms exceeds several thousand distinct genotypes with
very high variability among microalgal species. The highest numbers of
distinct genotypes (500,000 and 2,000,000 genotypes) were estimated for
species with very low numbers of observed clones in population genetic
studies (< 5%), but genotype richness was also strongly
impacted by intraspecific variability in growth rates. Furthermore, the
probability of finding clones and presumably sampling a representative
fraction of genotypes increased significantly with higher sample sizes,
challenging the detection of differences in genotype diversity between
sub-samples with few isolates.