Estimation of the Influence of Meteorological Factors on the Potential
Evapotranspiration of Yanhe River Basin
Abstract
Potential evapotranspiration (ET0) is an
important expenditure item in the hydrological cycle. Quantitative
estimation of the influence of meteorological factors on
ET0 can provide a scientific basis for the study
of the impact mechanism of climate change on the hydrological cycle. In
this paper, the Penman-Monteith method was used to calculate
ET0. The Mann-Kendall statistical test and the
Inverse Distance Weighting method were used to analyze the temporal and
spatial characteristics of the sensitivity coefficient of
ET0 to meteorological factors and contribution
rate of meteorological factors to ET0. And the
reasons for the change of ET0 were quantitatively
explored in combination with the change trend of meteorological factors.
The results showed that the average ET0 in the
Yanhe River Basin from 1978 to 2017 was 935.92mm. Except for Ganquan
Station, ET0 showed an upward trend. Generally,
the sensitivity coefficient of air temperature (0.08), wind speed (0.19)
and solar radiation (0.42) was positive and the sensitivity coefficient
of relative humidity (-0.41) was negative. But there were significant
temporal and spatial differences. The upward trend of air temperature
and solar radiation contributed 1.09% and 0.55% to
ET0. Respectively, the downward trend of wind
speed contributed -0.63% And the downward trend of relative humidity
contributed to -0.85% of ET0. Therefore, the
decrease of relative humidity did not cause the increase of
ET0 in Yanhe River basin. The dominant factor of
the upward trend of ET0 was air temperature. But
the dominant factors of ET0 had significant
temporal and spatial differences. The downward trend of wind speed at
Ganquan Station contributed -9.16% to ET0, which
indicated the dominant factor of “evaporation paradox” in Ganquan area
was wind speed. Generally, the increase of ET0
was related to air temperature, wind speed and solar radiation. And the
decrease of ET0 was related to relative humidity.