Abstract
Aim: To determine the efficacy of neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR) as a
marker of the severity of COVID-19 pneumonia in the South-Asian
population. Methods: This was a prospective, cross-sectional, analytic
study conducted at HDU/ICU of District Headquarter Hospital, Faisalabad,
Pakistan, from May through July 2020. Sixty-three eligible patients,
admitted to the HDU/ICU, were prospectively enrolled in the study. Their
NLR, C-reactive protein, serum albumin, and serum fibrinogen were
measured. Patients’ demographic characteristics, comorbidities, clinical
manifestations of COVID-19 infection, medication use, and history of
lung malignancy were retrieved from their medical history. Patients were
categorized into either a general group (with mild COVID-19) or a heavy
group (with moderate to severe COVID-19). Results: There were
significant differences between the two groups in diabetes prevalence,
NLR, C-reactive protein, and serum albumin. NLR and C-reactive protein
were positively correlated (P < 0.001, P = 0.04 respectively)
whereas serum albumin was negatively correlated (P = 0.009) with severe
COVID-19. NLR was found to be an independent risk factor for severe
COVID-19 pneumonia in the heavy group (OR = 1.264, 95% CI:
1.046~1.526, P = 0.015). The calculated AUC using ROC
for NLR was 0.831, with an optimal limit of 4.795, sensitivity of 0.83
and specificity of 0.75, which is highly suggestive of NLR being a
marker for early detection of deteriorating severe COVID-19 infection.
Conclusion: NLR can be used as an early warning signal for deteriorating
severe COVID-19 infection and can provide an objective basis for early
identification and management of severe COVID-19 pneumonia.