Figure legends:
Figure1 : Number of Reported Cases (7 day rolling average) as a ratio to the national population x 1 million.
Source: Our World in Data COVID-19 Dataset. Our World in Data is collaborative efforts between researchers at the University of Oxford, who are the scientific editors of the website content, and the non-profit organization Global Change Data Lab, who publishes and maintains the website and the data toolshttps://ourworldindata.org/coronavirusDownloaded 10/6/2020
Figure 2: Number of Deaths Reported associated with COVID-19 (7 day rolling average) as a ratio to the national population x 1 million.
Source: Our World in Data COVID-19 Dataset. Downloaded 10/6/2020
Figure 3: Excess Deaths in weeks 8-21 of 2020.
Difference to average in the same week in the previous 3 years (2017/2018/2019) and shown as % of average. Source: The Human Mortality Database Department of Demography at the University of California, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Center on the Economics and Development of Aging (CEDA)www.mortality.org. Downloaded 9/6/2020
Figure 4 : Date of Implementation and Relaxation of National responses in selected countries.
The series is the COVID-19 Government Response Stringency Index which is a composite measure based on nine response indicators including school closures, workplace closures, and travel bans, rescaled to a value from 0 to 100 (100 = strictest response). Source: Blavatnik School of Government, University of Oxford,https://www.bsg.ox.ac.uk/research/research-projects/coronavirus-government-response-tracker
Figure 5 : The net extra economic costs of the lockdown relative to the easing of restrictions are assumed to be £100 billion. To that is added the cost of lives lost under lockdown. The benefits of lives not lost, relative to the easing of restrictions, is then deducted from the lockdown costs to generate a net cost figure under the three scenarios. The easing scenarios are: i) deaths still decline but slower than in Lockdown, ii) deaths remain at start June 2020 levels iii) deaths increase again back up to April 2020 peak levels. The equivalent cost/QALY is calculated by dividing the Lockdown costs (£100 billion) by the net number of lives not lost in that scenario times the number of QALYs for each death.