Abstract
The highlands of Ethiopia are a densely populated, agriculturally active
region characterized by strong topographic contrasts. These contrasts
have significant implications for agricultural productivity and for
vulnerability to climate variability and change. These differing
vulnerabilities are evident in analyses of economic and health outcomes
over time, and they were on stark display during the major El Niño
drought of 2015. To provide meaningful analysis of climate vulnerability
in this region and, ultimately, to support climate resilience
strategies, it is necessary to account for this topographic diversity.
Recognizing this, the Government of Ethiopia has applied an “adaptation
zone” approach to climate change planning, in which adaptation zones
are defined in large part by agroecology. Here, we present results of
studies we have performed in the Ethiopian Highlands over the past
decade in which agroecosystems were applied as a lens for analyzing
hydrology, land management and change, agricultural production, and
nutrition under climate variability. This approach has informed a number
of active development initiatives in the region, including protection of
high elevation zones, farmer-led initiatives on soil and water
management, and introduction of new cropping strategies. Looking
forward, climate projections at the scale of the agroecosystem point to
emerging risks and opportunities for resilient agricultural development
in the region.