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Ensemble-based data assimilation improves hyperresolution snowpack simulations in forests.
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  • Esteban Alonso-González,
  • Adrain Harpold,
  • Jessica D Lundquist,
  • Cara Piske,
  • Laura Sourp,
  • Kristoffer Aalstad,
  • Simon Gascoin
Esteban Alonso-González
Instituto Pirenaico de Ecologia

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

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Adrain Harpold
Unknown
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Jessica D Lundquist
University of Washington
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Cara Piske
Airborne Snow Observatories Inc
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Laura Sourp
Centre d'Etudes Spatiales de la Biosphere
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Kristoffer Aalstad
University of Oslo
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Simon Gascoin
CNRS/CESBIO
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Abstract

Snowpack dynamics play a key role in controlling hydrological and ecological processes at various scales, but snow monitoring remains problematic. Data assimilation techniques are emerging as promising tools to improve uncertain snowpack simulations by fusing state-of-the-art numerical models with information rich, but noisy observations. However, the occlusion of the ground below the forest canopy limits the retrieval of snowpack information from remote sensing tools. Thus, remote sensing observations in these environments are spatially incomplete, impeding the implementation of fully distributed data assimilation techniques. Here we propose different experiments to propagate the information obtained in forest clearings, where it is possible to retrieve observations, towards the sub-canopy, where the point of view of remote sensors is occluded. The experiments were conducted in forests within Sagehen Creek watershed (California, USA), by updating simulations conducted with the Flexible Snow Model (FSM2) with airborne lidar snow data using the Multiple Snow data Assimilation system (MuSA). The successful experiments improved the reference simulations significantly both in terms of validation metrics (correlation coefficient from R=0.1 to R ~0.8 in average) and spatial patterns. Both data assimilation configurations, using geographical distances or a space of topographical dimensions, managed to improve the reference run. However, those creating a space of synthetic coordinates by combining the spatiotemporal data assimilation with a principal components analysis did not show any improvement, even degrading some validation metrics. Future data assimilation initiatives would benefit from building specific localization functions that are able to model the spatial snowpack relationships at different resolutions.
26 Nov 2024Submitted to ESS Open Archive
27 Nov 2024Published in ESS Open Archive