Assessing Channel Bank-Height Adjustments and Flood Frequency Trends in
a Decoupled Channel-levee Evolution Model
Abstract
A series of processes involving sediment delivery from channels, its
dispersal onto the floodplain, and storage at their channel margins,
often generates natural levees. When levees breach, they release water
and sediment onto the floodplain, leading to crevasse splays or
avulsions. Despite their importance in constructing floodplains and
influencing channel mobility, levee growth is poorly understood.
Presently, no model fully explains dynamic channel-levee evolution. A
common assumption is that levee and channel bed aggradation rates are
coupled. If they coevolve, levees should progressively accumulate along
any aggrading channel belt, yet observations indicate otherwise. Using a
one-dimensional numerical model, we investigate levee growth decoupled
from channel bed aggradation across two flood scenarios wherein the
flooded level: 1) exceeds the levee crest height (i.e., front loading);
2) is lower than the levee crest causing partial inundation of distal
levee deposits (i.e., back loading). Initially, rapid levee aggradation
confines the channel and increases bankfull depth, which mitigates
flooding. As confinement slows levee growth, channel bed aggrades until
bankfull depth is sufficiently reduced to trigger overflows. This
releasing process increases flood likelihood and enhances overbank
accumulation, promoting front loading and re-confining the channel. Our
findings suggest aggradational channels may experience confined-release
phases, characterized by episodic levee growth and fluctuations in
bankfull depth. Rapid in-channel aggradation increases flood frequency
and variability with more confined-release cycles. These results imply
that river avulsions and associated floods might preferentially occur
when the channel bed aggrades faster than adjacent levees, whereby the
channel becomes shallower and destabilized.