Quantifying the Direct Radiative Effect of Stratospheric Aerosols Using
Radiative Kernels
Abstract
To facilitate the quantification of the stratospheric aerosol radiative
effect, this study generates a set of aerosol direct radiative effect
(ADRE) kernels based on MERRA-2 reanalysis data. These radiative kernels
measure the sensitivities of ADRE to perturbations in scattering and
absorbing aerosol optical depth (AOD), respectively. Both broadband and
band-by-band radiative kernels are developed to account for the
wavelength dependency of ADRE. The broadband kernels are then emulated
by a multivariate regression model, which predicts the kernel values
from a handful of predictors, including the top-of-atmosphere (TOA)
insolation, TOA reflectance, and stratospheric AOD. These kernels offer
an efficient and versatile way to assess the ADRE of stratospheric
aerosols. The ADREs of the 2022 Hunga volcano eruption and the 2020
Australia wildfire are estimated from the kernels and validated against
radiative transfer model-calculated results. The Hunga eruption induced
a global mean cooling forcing of -0.46 W/m² throughout 2022, while the
Australia wildfire caused a warming forcing of +0.28 W/m² from January
to August. The kernel estimation can capture over 90% of the ADRE
variance with relative error within 10%, in these assessments. The
results demonstrate the spectral dependencies of stratospheric ADRE and
highlight the distinct radiative sensitivity of stratospheric aerosols,
which differs significantly from that of tropospheric aerosols.