Paleosol-based reconstruction indicates decoupling of mean annual
precipitation and precipitation intensity during the Paleocene-Eocene
Thermal Maximum in the Uinta Basin, Utah
Abstract
The Earth is transitioning to a state unprecedented in human history.
This transition poses a challenge for predicting the future, as climate
models require testing and calibration with real-world data from high
greenhouse gas climates. Despite significant progress in climate
modeling, changes in the precipitation remain highly uncertain. The
Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM) was the warmest period of the
Cenozoic Era, and thus serves as a test-bed of how precipitation is
altered by extreme greenhouse gas warming. Here, we use paleosol bulk
geochemistry methods to quantify changes in precipitation during the
PETM in the Uinta Basin, Utah. We find no change in mean annual
precipitation during this warming event. However, paleosol mass balance
results track increased translocation of carbonates, increased clay
illuviation, and increased accumulation of redox-sensitive elements.
These results, along with shifts in fluvial stratigraphy provide
evidence for increased intensity and intermittency of extreme
precipitation events that may be related to changes in the transport
direction, seasonality, and moisture transport capability of the North
American monsoon. Surprisingly, changes in fluvial stratigraphy
continued for 105-106 years after the PETM while paleosol geochemistry
returned to pre-PETM conditions almost immediately at the boundary,
suggesting persistent changes in precipitation intensity despite a
decrease in global temperature. These findings provide further support
for an intensification of the hydrological cycle during and after the
PETM, provide evidence for a decoupling between mean and extreme
precipitation, and indicate the importance of multi-proxy, regional
studies for understanding the complexities of climate change.