A NASA GISTEMPv4 Observational Uncertainty Ensemble
- Nathan Lenssen
, - Gavin A Schmidt,
- Michael Hendrickson,
- Peter Jacobs,
- Matthew J Menne,
- Reto Ruedy
Nathan Lenssen
Dept. of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Columbia University, Dept. of Applied Mathematics and Statistics, Colorado School of Mines
Corresponding Author:[email protected]
Author ProfileGavin A Schmidt
NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies
Michael Hendrickson
NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, Autonomic Integra LLC
Peter Jacobs
NASA Goddard Space Flight Center
Matthew J Menne
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information
Reto Ruedy
NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, Autonomic Integra LLC
Abstract
• A 200-member ensemble has been created to quantify uncertainty in the GISTEMP history of surface temperature anomalies. • This ensemble enables more accurate statistical analyses of key global change metrics. • The median ensemble estimate agrees well with the operational GISTEMP analysis and other global products14 Jun 2024Submitted to ESS Open Archive 21 Jun 2024Published in ESS Open Archive
