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An Integrated Global-to-Regional Scale Workflow for Simulating Climate Change Impacts on Marine Ecosystems
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  • Kelly Ortega-Cisneros,
  • L. Denisse Fierro Arcos,
  • Max lindmark,
  • Camilla Novaglio,
  • Phoebe Woodworth-Jefcoats,
  • Tyler Eddy,
  • Marta Coll,
  • Beth Fulton,
  • Ricardo Oliveros-Ramos,
  • Jonathan Charles Reum,
  • Yunne-Jai Shin,
  • Catherine M Bulman,
  • Leonardo Capitani,
  • Samik Datta,
  • Kieran Murphy,
  • Alice Rogers,
  • Lynne Shannon,
  • George A Whitehouse,
  • Ezekiel Adekoya,
  • Beatriz Dias,
  • Alba Fuster,
  • Cecilie Hansen,
  • Berengere Husson,
  • Vidette McGregor,
  • Alaia Morell,
  • Hem-Nalini Morzaria Luna,
  • Jazel Ouled-Cheikh,
  • Jim Ruzicka,
  • Jeroen Gerhard Steenbeek,
  • Ilaria Stollberg,
  • Roshni Subramaniam,
  • Vivitskaia Tulloch,
  • Andrea Bryndum-Buchholz,
  • Cheryl Shannon Harrison,
  • Ryan Heneghan,
  • Olivier Maury,
  • Jacob Schewe,
  • Derek Tittensor,
  • Howard Townsend,
  • Julia L. Blanchard
Kelly Ortega-Cisneros
University of Cape Town

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

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L. Denisse Fierro Arcos
The University of Tasmania
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Max lindmark
Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences
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Camilla Novaglio
University of Tasmania
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Phoebe Woodworth-Jefcoats
NOAA
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Tyler Eddy
Memorial University
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Marta Coll
Institute of Marine Science (ICM-CSIC), Barcelona, Spain
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Beth Fulton
Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO)
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Ricardo Oliveros-Ramos
Institut de Recherche pour le Développement
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Jonathan Charles Reum
NOAA Fisheries
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Yunne-Jai Shin
IRD/IFREMER
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Catherine M Bulman
CSIRO
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Leonardo Capitani
Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research
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Samik Datta
NIWA
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Kieran Murphy
Australian Centre for Excellence in Antarctic Science, The University of Tasmania
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Alice Rogers
Victoria University of Wellington
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Lynne Shannon
University of Cape Town
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George A Whitehouse
Cooperative Institute for Climate, Ocean, and Ecosystem Studies, University of Washington
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Ezekiel Adekoya
Dalhousie Unviersity
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Beatriz Dias
College of Fisheries and Ocean Sciences, University of Alaska Fairbanks
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Alba Fuster
Institute of Marine Science (ICM-CSIC)
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Cecilie Hansen
Institute of Marine Research, Norway
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Berengere Husson
Institute of Marine Research
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Vidette McGregor
Population Modelling Group, National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research
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Alaia Morell
MARBEC, Univ Montpellier, IRD, CNRS, Ifremer
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Hem-Nalini Morzaria Luna
Long Live The Kings
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Jazel Ouled-Cheikh
Institute of Marine Science (ICM-CSIC)
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Jim Ruzicka
Pacific Islands Fisheries Science Center (NOAA)
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Jeroen Gerhard Steenbeek
Ecopath International Initiative (EII)
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Ilaria Stollberg
Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, University of Tasmania
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Roshni Subramaniam
Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation
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Vivitskaia Tulloch
Basin-scale Events to Coastal Impacts (BECI), North Pacific Marine Science Organization (PICES)
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Andrea Bryndum-Buchholz
Centre for Fisheries Ecosystems Research, Fisheries and Marine Institute, Memorial University of Newfoundland
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Cheryl Shannon Harrison
Louisiana State University
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Ryan Heneghan
School of Science and Environment
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Olivier Maury
Institut de Recherche pour le Développement
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Jacob Schewe
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
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Derek Tittensor
Department of Biology, Dalhousie University, 1355 Oxford Street, Halifax, NS B3H 4R2, Canada
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Howard Townsend
NOAA Chesapeake Bay Office
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Julia L. Blanchard
University of Tasmania
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Abstract

As the urgency to evaluate the impacts of climate change on marine ecosystems increases, there is a need to develop robust projections and improve the uptake of ecosystem model outputs in policy and planning. Standardising input and output data is a crucial step in evaluating and communicating results, but can be challenging when using models with diverse structures, assumptions, and outputs that address region-specific issues. We developed an implementation framework and workflow to standardise the climate and fishing forcings used by regional models contributing to the Fisheries and Marine Ecosystem Model Intercomparison Project (FishMIP) and to facilitate comparative analyses across models and a wide range of regions, in line with the FishMIP 3a protocol. We applied our workflow to three case study areas-models: the Baltic Sea Mizer, Hawai’i-based Longline fisheries therMizer, and the southern Benguela ecosystem Atlantis marine ecosystem models. We then selected the most challenging steps of the workflow and illustrated their implementation in different model types and regions. Our workflow is adaptable across a wide range of regional models, from non-spatially explicit to spatially explicit and fully-depth resolved models and models that include one or several fishing fleets. This workflow will facilitate the development of regional marine ecosystem model ensembles and enhance future research on marine ecosystem model development and applications, model evaluation and benchmarking, and global-to-regional model comparisons.
15 May 2024Submitted to ESS Open Archive
16 May 2024Published in ESS Open Archive