Forward modeling of bending angles with a two-dimensional operator for
GNSS airborne radio occultations in atmospheric rivers
Abstract
The Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) airborne radio occultation
(ARO) technique is used to retrieve profiles of the atmosphere during
reconnaissance missions for atmospheric rivers (ARs) on the west coast
of the United States. The measurements are a horizontal integral of
refractive index over long ray-paths extending between a spaceborne
transmitter and a receiver onboard an aircraft. A specialized forward
operator is required to allow assimilation of ARO observations into
numerical weather prediction models to support forecasting of ARs. A
two-dimensional (2D) bending angle operator is proposed to enable
capturing key atmospheric features associated with strong ARs.
Comparison to a one-dimensional (1D) forward model supports the evidence
of large bending angle departures within 3-7 km impact heights for
observations collected in a region characterized by the integrated water
vapor transport (IVT) magnitude above 500 kg m-1 s-1. The assessment of
the 2D forward model for ARO retrievals is based on a sequence of six
flights leading up to a significant AR precipitation event in January
2021. Since the observations often sampled regions outside the AR where
moisture is low, the significance of horizontal variations is obscured
in the average statistics. However, examples from an individual flight
preferentially sampling the cross-section of an AR further support the
need for the 2D forward model for targeted ARO observations. Additional
simulation experiments are performed to quantify forward modeling errors
due to tangent point drift and horizontal gradients suggesting
contributions on the order of 5 % and 20 %, respectively.