An investigation on causes of the detected surface solar radiation
brightening in Europe using satellite data
Abstract
Surface solar radiation is fundamental for terrestrial life. It provides
warmth to make our planet habitable, drives atmospheric circulation, the
hydrological cycle and photosynthesis.
Europe has experienced an increase in surface solar radiation, termed
“brightening”, since the 1980s.
This study investigates the causative factors behind this brightening.
A novel algorithm from the EUMETSAT satellite application facility on
climate monitoring (CM SAF) provides the unique opportunity to simulate
surface solar radiation under various atmospheric conditions for clouds
(clear-sky or all-sky), aerosol optical depth (time-varying or
climatological averages) and water vapor content (with or without its
direct influence on surface solar radiation).
Through a multiple linear regression approach, the study attributes
brightening trends to changes in these atmospheric parameters. Analyzing
61 locations distributed across Europe from 1983 to 2020, aerosols
emerge as key driver during 1983-2002, with Southern Europe and high
elevations showing subdued effects (0-1%/decade) versus more pronounced
impacts in Northern and Eastern Europe (2-6%/decade). Cloud effects
exhibit spatial variability, inducing a negative effect on surface solar
radiation (-3 to -2%/decade) at most investigated locations in the same
period. In the subsequent period 2001-2020, aerosol effects are
negligible, while cloud effects dominate the observed brightening
(2-5%/decade). This study therefore finds a substantial decrease in the
cloud radiative forcing over Europe in the first two decades of the 21st
century.
Water vapor exerts negligible influence in both sub-periods.