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UCIS4EQ applied to the M7.1 2017 earthquake in Puebla (México)
  • +3
  • Marisol Monterrubio-Velasco,
  • Marta Pienkowska,
  • Cedric Bhihe,
  • Rut Blanco-Prieto,
  • Arturo Iglesias,
  • Josep de la Puente
Marisol Monterrubio-Velasco
Marta Pienkowska
Cedric Bhihe
Rut Blanco-Prieto

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

Author Profile
Arturo Iglesias
Josep de la Puente


The Urgent Computing Integrated Services for Earthquakes (UCIS4EQ) is proposed as a novel Urgent Computing (UC) seismic workflow that focuses on short-time reports of synthetic estimates of the consequences of moderate to large earthquakes. UC combines High-Performance Computing (HPC), High-Performance Data Analytics (HPDA), and optimized solvers to perform numerical simulations during or immediately after emergency situations, typically within a few minutes to a few hours. Complex edge-to-end UC workflows coordinate the execution of multiple model realizations to account for input and model uncertainties and can provide decision-makers with numerical estimates of the outcomes of emergency scenarios, such as earthquakes addressed by UCIS4EQ. 
UCIS4EQ is being driven toward operational maturity thanks to the technological and scientific developments within the eFlows4HPC project. Based on containerised micorservices, this workflow is fully orchestrated by the PyCOMPSs workflow manager to automatically prepare and manage physics-based deterministic simulation suites for rapid synthetic results. Through pre-computed and on-the-fly simulations, UCIS4EQ delivers estimates of relevant ground motion parameters, such as peak ground velocity, peak ground acceleration, or shaking duration, with very high spatial resolution. The physics-based engine includes pre-trained Machine Learning (ML) models fed with pre-computed simulation databases, as well as deterministic 3D simulations on demand, providing results in minutes and hours, respectively. The combined results, when well-calibrated, could lead to a new generation of ground shaking maps that complement GMPEs for rapid hazard assessment.
To demonstrate the potential use of UC in seismology,  in this work we show the UCIS4EQ simulation of the M7.1 Puebla earthquake that occurred in central Mexico on the 19th of September 2017. With a hypocentre at 18.40ºN, 98.72ºW and 57 km depth, the Puebla earthquake was located about 150 km southeast from Mexico City. Identified as a severe event (VIII) in the Modified Mercalli Intensity scale, it resulted in a total of 370 killed and around 6000 injured, as well as structural damages, downed telephone lines, and ruptured gas mains.
17 Jan 2024Submitted to ESS Open Archive
02 Feb 2024Published in ESS Open Archive